Monday, October 12, 2009

Green Jobs Counting

"Clean Energy Works Portland...is embarking on a pilot project phase during which approximately 500 homes will receive energy audits and be retrofitted by the summer of 2010. After the pilot phase, Clean Energy Works Portland will scale-up to retrofit an estimated 100,000 homes with the potential to create as many as 10,000 local jobs over the next ten years"

Community Workforce Agreement in Portland guarantees expanded job opportunity and standards for thousands of clean-energy jobs

This is just the kind of ambitious thinking and action we need in the energy retrofit field. Good translation of retrofit into quality jobs. Some ideas about financing, etc. beyond ARRA would be good -- and I know they are working on them.

As far as jobs,let's do a little thought experiment. My guess is that about 30 direct jobs will be created for the pilot -- assuming no one is currently working the retrofit scene. So, beyond the pilot, about 10,000 homes per year for ten years. That would mean about 600 jobs per year, more or less the same jobs for each of the ten years.

So,the question is how much turnover occurs each year in these jobs. Bad turnover is workers just moving on. And that's not necessarily bad. Good turnover is moving up into apprenticeships, careers, small business development, etc. Understanding these change metrics gives a better sense of the opportunity -- although 600 steady jobs is an important addition to the economy. And I suspect the indirect jobs, etc.,make this even more impressive.

1 comment:

homework said...

i agree enacting CWAs are good protocol for cities trying to create quality jobs, but i'm concerned that they're not doing enough as far as defining local hiring narrow enough to target the ailing neighborhoods where some of the work is happening rather than passing along the jobs to anyone who lives in the metro area and qualifies as a local resident.i guess you can't do everything with one ordinance.